League Two
— China
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 07:30 •
Ruichang Sports Park Stadium
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 1.24)
0.97 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.4%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Hubei Chufeng Heli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jiangxi Liansheng | 0 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Jiangxi Liansheng carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 133 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jiangxi Liansheng 0.0, Hubei Chufeng Heli +16.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Jiangxi Liansheng
vs
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Elo gapJiangxi Liansheng +133
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2976.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2976.4
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1537.3 | 1439.1 |
| Form Elo | 1540.5 | 1456.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1496.5 | 1477 |
| Attack Elo | 1592.4 | 1453 |
| Defense Elo | 1567.2 | 1435.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | 0.0 | +16.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Jiangxi Liansheng last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Hubei Chufeng Heli last-5 Elo change: +16.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Attack | 46% | 46% |
| Defense | 62% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 25% |
Jiangxi LianshengDDLW
Hubei Chufeng HeliWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jiangxi Liansheng | Hubei Chufeng Heli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Jiangxi Liansheng
vs
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Expected goals
3.22
Jiangxi Liansheng xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
4.19
0.97
Hubei Chufeng Heli xG
League Avg: 1.03
1x2 probabilities
Home
70.0%
Draw
11.5%
Away
7.7%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
8.4%
Tip
3 - 1
8.2%
Tip
2 - 0
7.9%
More chances
1.5+
83%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
82%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Jiangxi Liansheng = 3.22 (league 1.24), Hubei Chufeng Heli = 0.97 (league 1.03)
| Hubei Chufeng Heli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jiangxi Liansheng | 0 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 7.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1