Non League Premier - Southern Central — 2025
England
Power leader: Harborough TownHottest: Stamford +38.0Featured: Worcester City vs Spalding United

Next feature

2026-04-25 16:00

Power spread

324.9
Teams
22
League clubs
Matches
113
Counted fixtures
Goals / Match
2.83
League average
Strongest Elo
Harborough Town
Elo 1,696.9
Hottest Team
Stamford
Δ5 +38.0
League Elo
1,513.5
Spread 324.9
Featured fixtureWorcester City vs Spalding United — Balanced · 48.9% model edge

League Matches Summary

Home: 40.7%Draw: 26.5%Away: 32.7%
Matches counted: 113

League Goals & Averages

Total Goals320
Goals per Match2.83

Under / Over Goals — League Avg

LineOverUnder
0.5
Over: 74.9%
Under: 25.1%
1.5
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
2.5
Over: 16.7%
Under: 83.4%
3.5
Over: 6.1%
Under: 93.9%
4.5
Over: 0.9%
Under: 99.1%

League Key Tallies

Clean Sheets (home)33
Clean Sheets (away)24

FootyWow League Strength

Top team

Harborough Town
Elo 1,696.9

Bottom team

Royston Town
Elo 1,372.0

Average Elo

1,513.5
League baseline

Spread

324.9
Top vs bottom
Elite · 4Strong · 5Stable · 7Fragile · 4Relegation risk · 2
FootyWow tiers are dynamic within each league context and reflect relative Elo strength rather than official competition positions.

Table — Stats Summary

#TeamWDLGFGAGDPtsPower
1L W D W L 7142314922#17 · Fragile
2W D W D W 6301851321#1 · Elite
3D W L W W 6222215720#2 · Elite
4W W D W L 623169720#13 · Stable
5W L L W W 6132113819#8 · Strong
6D L W D L 5231814417#6 · Strong
7W D D D W 4521816217#10 · Stable
8D W L L W 5241716117#12 · Stable
9L W W D L 4431515016#7 · Strong
10L W W W D 4331512315#3 · Elite
11W D L W W 4251417-314#9 · Strong
12L L L D W 4251114-314#11 · Stable
13W L D D L 3441412213#19 · Fragile
14W W L D W 4161420-613#18 · Fragile
15W L L W L 3331616012#14 · Stable
16L D D W L 3331113-212#5 · Strong
17D L L W D 3251318-511#20 · Fragile
18W D L L D 2441215-310#15 · Stable
19D D L D L 1541012-28#4 · Elite
20L D W D L 1451220-87#22 · Relegation risk
21L W L D L 216618-127#21 · Relegation risk
22L D L D L 046416-124#16 · Stable
This table shows what has already happened. Use FootyWow Power Rankings below to compare it with current Elo-based team strength.

FootyWow Power Rankings

#TeamEloΔ5FormHomeAwayAttackDefenseTable
1Elite1,696.9+15.91,709.51,586.01,606.21,717.91,670.6#2
2Elite1,640.8-33.11,633.91,568.11,573.51,784.01,594.8#3
3Elite1,638.0-4.61,634.81,564.41,576.81,743.71,586.2#10
4Elite1,578.3-5.11,584.21,524.21,541.71,609.61,621.3#19
5Strong1,578.1+20.91,592.61,564.21,485.71,600.21,527.1#16
6Strong1,573.5+16.21,586.51,534.01,532.61,629.61,572.6#6
7Strong1,566.3+7.01,576.71,523.41,531.11,662.01,538.5#9
8Strong1,566.2-38.21,547.81,545.51,546.21,718.51,492.5#5
9Strong1,555.7+37.81,573.91,542.11,503.01,552.11,515.6#11
10Stable1,532.7+14.01,542.61,482.01,537.51,527.21,492.2#7
11Stable1,515.5+9.31,526.81,512.11,493.91,522.81,525.6#12
12Stable1,504.3+6.51,506.01,523.01,463.21,536.41,446.1#8
13Stable1,490.6+23.71,501.81,501.91,479.21,451.71,555.5#4
14Stable1,482.4-40.11,458.31,524.21,466.41,439.11,513.4#15
15Stable1,461.4-11.11,457.31,491.11,471.11,506.01,415.6#18
16Stable1,457.8+38.01,478.11,513.21,430.81,395.41,439.2#22
17Fragile1,445.9-9.41,440.01,465.11,473.41,448.61,411.6#1
18Fragile1,438.7+20.71,443.01,476.91,459.81,514.31,383.0#14
19Fragile1,421.2-12.51,402.51,458.51,471.31,466.41,413.8#13
20Fragile1,399.6-45.81,360.51,441.31,471.71,506.31,307.0#17
21Relegation risk1,381.1-15.31,359.51,435.21,460.21,446.11,256.1#21
22Relegation risk1,372.0-12.71,351.01,433.11,457.71,358.01,359.4#20
FootyWow Power Rankings are updated in the background from finished fixtures and reflect current strength, not just accumulated points.

Table vs Power

Overperformers

Table #1 · Power #17
+16 vs power
Table #4 · Power #13
+9 vs power
Table #13 · Power #19
+6 vs power
Table #8 · Power #12
+4 vs power
Table #14 · Power #18
+4 vs power

Underperformers

Table #10 · Power #3
+7 value
Table #19 · Power #4
+15 value
Table #16 · Power #5
+11 value
Table #9 · Power #7
+2 value
Table #11 · Power #9
+2 value
Best value: Real Bedford (#10 table / #3 Elo)Most fragile top team: Harborough Town (#2 table / #1 Elo)

Elo Risers & Fallers

Top risers

Overall Elo 1,457.8 · Form 1,478.1
+38.0
Overall Elo 1,555.7 · Form 1,573.9
+37.8
Overall Elo 1,490.6 · Form 1,501.8
+23.7
Overall Elo 1,578.1 · Form 1,592.6
+20.9
Overall Elo 1,438.7 · Form 1,443.0
+20.7

Top fallers

Overall Elo 1,399.6 · Form 1,360.5
-45.8
Overall Elo 1,482.4 · Form 1,458.3
-40.1
Overall Elo 1,566.2 · Form 1,547.8
-38.2
Overall Elo 1,640.8 · Form 1,633.9
-33.1
Overall Elo 1,381.1 · Form 1,359.5
-15.3

Upcoming Fixtures — Elo Edge

2026-04-25 16:00Potential away mismatch
Stamford
vs
Harborough Town
Home Elo
1,457.8
Edge
184.1
Away Elo
1,696.9
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 25.7% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Potential home mismatch
Needham Market
vs
Banbury United
Home Elo
1,578.1
Edge
150.7
Away Elo
1,482.4
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 70.4% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Balanced
Bury Town
vs
Kettering Town
Home Elo
1,515.5
Edge
3.0
Away Elo
1,573.5
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 49.6% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Balanced
Barwell
vs
Bishop's Stortford
Home Elo
1,399.6
Edge
8.7
Away Elo
1,445.9
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 51.3% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Balanced
Alvechurch
vs
Leiston
Home Elo
1,490.6
Edge
12.9
Away Elo
1,532.7
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 51.9% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Potential home mismatch
Stourbridge
vs
Royston Town
Home Elo
1,461.4
Edge
144.4
Away Elo
1,372.0
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 69.7% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Balanced
Redditch United
vs
Quorn
Home Elo
1,504.3
Edge
6.9
Away Elo
1,566.2
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 49% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Strong away edge
St Ives Town
vs
Stratford Town
Home Elo
1,421.2
Edge
79.5
Away Elo
1,555.7
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 38.8% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Potential home mismatch
Halesowen Town
vs
AFC Sudbury
Home Elo
1,566.3
Edge
240.2
Away Elo
1,381.1
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 79.9% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Potential away mismatch
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
Real Bedford
Home Elo
1,438.7
Edge
144.3
Away Elo
1,638.0
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 30.4% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.
2026-04-25 16:00Balanced
Worcester City
vs
Spalding United
Home Elo
1,578.3
Edge
7.5
Away Elo
1,640.8
Current FootyWow Elo gives the nominal home side roughly 48.9% expected edge after home advantage. Use this as a strength signal, not an official prediction.

Power by Split

Best home teams

1,586.0
Home Elo
1,568.1
Home Elo
Table #10
1,564.4
Home Elo
1,564.2
Home Elo
Table #5
1,545.5
Home Elo

Best away teams

1,606.2
Away Elo
Table #10
1,576.8
Away Elo
1,573.5
Away Elo
Table #5
1,546.2
Away Elo
1,541.7
Away Elo

Best attacks

1,784.0
Attack Elo
Table #10
1,743.7
Attack Elo
Table #5
1,718.5
Attack Elo
1,717.9
Attack Elo
1,662.0
Attack Elo

Best defenses

1,670.6
Defense Elo
1,621.3
Defense Elo
1,594.8
Defense Elo
Table #10
1,586.2
Defense Elo
1,572.6
Defense Elo

League Storylines

Current power leader: Harborough Town (Elo 1,696.9). Momentum leader: Stamford with a last-five Elo change of +38.0. Most dangerous attack rating: Spalding United (1,784.0). Most stable defensive rating: Harborough Town (1,670.6). Featured next fixture by combined Elo: Worcester City vs Spalding United at 2026-04-25 16:00.
Matches 113Goals 320Average Elo 1,513.5

Top team

Harborough Town
Elo 1,696.9

Bottom team

Royston Town
Elo 1,372.0

Average Elo

1,513.5
League baseline

Spread

324.9
Top vs bottom

Race Tracker

Title race

#1 table · Leader pack
22 pts
Elo 1,445.9
#2 table · Leader pack
21 pts
Elo 1,696.9
#3 table · Leader pack
20 pts
Elo 1,640.8
#4 table · Leader pack
20 pts
Elo 1,490.6

Upper-table race

#5 table · Continental / top-half push
19 pts
Elo 1,566.2
#6 table · Continental / top-half push
17 pts
Elo 1,573.5
#7 table · Continental / top-half push
17 pts
Elo 1,532.7
#8 table · Continental / top-half push
17 pts
Elo 1,504.3
#9 table · Continental / top-half push
16 pts
Elo 1,566.3
#10 table · Continental / top-half push
15 pts
Elo 1,638.0

Relegation fight

#15 table · Pressure zone
12 pts
Elo 1,482.4
#16 table · Pressure zone
12 pts
Elo 1,578.1
#17 table · Pressure zone
11 pts
Elo 1,399.6
#18 table · Pressure zone
10 pts
Elo 1,461.4
#19 table · Pressure zone
8 pts
Elo 1,578.3
#20 table · Pressure zone
7 pts
Elo 1,372.0

About FootyWow Power Rankings

What are FootyWow Power Rankings on this page?

They are precomputed Elo-based league rankings that sit next to the official table. They estimate current team strength using results, home edge, goal margin, and attack/defense micro-updates.

Why can the Power Rankings differ from the table?

The table rewards accumulated points, while FootyWow Power reacts to the quality and strength signal behind those results. That helps surface overperformers, underperformers, and momentum swings.

Who is the current power leader in Non League Premier - Southern Central 2025?

Harborough Town currently leads the league by Elo with an overall rating of 1,696.9. The average league Elo is 1,513.5.

Does this page calculate Elo live?

No. League and team Elo values are generated in the background from local cache fixtures and then served from JSON, so this page stays fast.

vtt 76 , vtd1