Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.89)
1.71 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.8% | 21.8% | 34.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Benkovski Isperih | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Varna II | 0 | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Benkovski Isperih carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 53 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Spartak Varna II +5.2, Benkovski Isperih -4.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Spartak Varna II
vs
Benkovski Isperih
Elo gapBenkovski Isperih +53
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo2977
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2977
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1444.6 | 1532.4 |
| Form Elo | 1427.2 | 1537 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1500 | 1505.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1501 | 1668.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1388.2 | 1471.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.2 | -4.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Spartak Varna II last-5 Elo change: +5.2; Benkovski Isperih last-5 Elo change: -4.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 42% | 15% | 28% | 75% | 27% | 52% |
| Draws | 8% | 15% | 12% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
| Loses | 50% | 69% | 60% | 8% | 36% | 22% |
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Benkovski IsperihWLWDWWWWLDDWWDDLWWWDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 12 | 34 | 32 | 19 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 18 | 35 | 53 | 7 | 22 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 88% | 91% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 52% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 32% | 30% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 20% | 17% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 10-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 7-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Spartak Varna II
vs
Benkovski Isperih
Expected goals
1.91
Spartak Varna II xG
League Avg: 1.89
Total
3.62
1.71
Benkovski Isperih xG
League Avg: 1.49
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.8%
Draw
21.8%
Away
34.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
8.8%
Tip
2 - 1
8.4%
Tip
1 - 2
7.5%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
70%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
81%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna II = 1.91 (league 1.89), Benkovski Isperih = 1.71 (league 1.49)
| Benkovski Isperih | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Varna II | 0 | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 34.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1