La Liga — Spain
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 18:00 • Reale Arena
Not Started

Real Sociedad

—

Getafe

Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.53) 1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.6% 24.1% 23.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Getafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 6.4% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Real Sociedad carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 105 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Real Sociedad -3.8, Getafe +24.2.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Real Sociedad Elo 1599.9 · -3.8
vs
Getafe Elo 1529.7 · +24.2
Elo gapReal Sociedad +105
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo3129.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3129.6
Elo home share 65%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Real Sociedad Getafe
Overall Elo1599.91529.7
Form Elo1601.21555
Home / Away Elo1535.91517.3
Attack Elo1620.11489.2
Defense Elo1500.71599.5
Last 5 Elo change-3.8+24.2

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Real Sociedad last-5 Elo change: -3.8; Getafe last-5 Elo change: +24.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal SociedadGetafe
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack92%50%
Defense17%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Sociedad Getafe
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins50%20%35%40%38%39%
Draws25%33%29%20%13%16%
Loses25%47%35%40%50%45%
Real SociedadDDLLLWLLDWWDWLLLDDWWWDWLDWLWLWD
GetafeWWLWLDDLLWWLLWLLLDLLDDWWLWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Real Sociedad Getafe
HATHAT
GF total321749141327
GF avg2.01.11.60.90.80.9
GA total242448112132
GA avg1.51.61.50.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal SociedadGetafe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%58%71%
1.545%39%29%19%
2.523%23%0%10%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal SociedadGetafe
HATHAT
Clean sheets213549
Failed to score1236713

Penalties

MetricReal SociedadGetafe
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricReal SociedadGetafe
Wins32
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses2-34-11-24-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricReal SociedadGetafe
Form44%56%
Att65%35%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals47%53%
Total50.3%49.7%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 1xBet
Away3.96 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ 10Bet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Real Sociedad vs Getafe
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Real Sociedad
vs
Getafe
La Liga • Spain • Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 18:00 • Reale Arena
Expected goals
1.69
Real Sociedad xG League Avg: 1.53
Total
2.75
1.05
Getafe xG League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.6%
Draw
24.1%
Away
23.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
Tip
1 - 0
10.9%
Tip
2 - 1
9.7%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
#RealSociedad #Getafe #LaLiga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad = 1.69 (league 1.53), Getafe = 1.05 (league 1.14)

Getafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad 0 6.4% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.9% 11.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 23.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1