Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 18:30 •
Jan Breydel Stadion
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.42)
1.34 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.9% | 19.1% | 20.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| KV Mechelen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Brugge KV | 0 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Club Brugge KV carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 191 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Club Brugge KV +25.1, KV Mechelen -15.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Club Brugge KV
vs
KV Mechelen
Elo gapClub Brugge KV +191
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share75%
Combined Elo3182.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3182.2
Elo home share
75%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1669.1 | 1513.1 |
| Form Elo | 1689.6 | 1505.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1592.6 | 1498.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1813.4 | 1486.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1519.3 | 1512.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +25.1 | -15.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Club Brugge KV last-5 Elo change: +25.1; KV Mechelen last-5 Elo change: -15.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 31% |
| Defense | 46% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 75% | 59% | 67% | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Draws | 13% | 6% | 9% | 35% | 25% | 30% |
| Loses | 13% | 35% | 24% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
Club Brugge KVWLWWDLWDWWWWWLWLLWWWLWLWWWWDWWWWL
KV MechelenDWWDLWDDWLWDLDWLWWLDLDDWLWWLWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 38 | 28 | 66 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 76% | 85% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 27% | 30% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 15% | 9% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Club Brugge KV | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 76% | 24% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 65.2% | 34.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.27 @ Betano
Draw7.00 @ Unibet
Away12.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ Betano
Under 2.53.30 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Club Brugge KV
vs
KV Mechelen
Expected goals
2.37
Club Brugge KV xG
League Avg: 1.42
Total
3.71
1.34
KV Mechelen xG
League Avg: 1.26
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.9%
Draw
19.1%
Away
20.4%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.2%
Tip
1 - 1
7.8%
Tip
3 - 1
7.3%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Club Brugge KV = 2.37 (league 1.42), KV Mechelen = 1.34 (league 1.26)
| KV Mechelen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Brugge KV | 0 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 20.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1