Allsvenskan
— Sweden
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 17:00 •
Hitachi Energy Arena
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.50)
2.97 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.1% | 15.0% | 62.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.9%
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| BK Hacken | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasteras SK FK | 0 | 1.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Vasteras SK FK carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 30 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vasteras SK FK -0.9, BK Hacken +22.1.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Vasteras SK FK
vs
BK Hacken
Elo gapVasteras SK FK +30
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo3182.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3182.6
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1588.9 | 1593.7 |
| Form Elo | 1578.9 | 1632 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1562.2 | 1523.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1675.3 | 1663.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1563.6 | 1533 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -0.9 | +22.1 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Vasteras SK FK last-5 Elo change: -0.9; BK Hacken last-5 Elo change: +22.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 78% |
| Attack | 19% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Vasteras SK FKWDL
BK HackenDWW
League goals
| Metric | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vasteras SK FK | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 13% | 87% |
| Total | 30.5% | 69.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away2.11 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.16 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Vasteras SK FK
vs
BK Hacken
Expected goals
1.34
Vasteras SK FK xG
League Avg: 1.50
Total
4.31
2.97
BK Hacken xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
14.1%
Draw
15.0%
Away
62.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
7.9%
Tip
1 - 3
7.9%
Tip
0 - 2
5.9%
More chances
1.5+
88%
Chance
2.5+
62%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Vasteras SK FK = 1.34 (league 1.50), BK Hacken = 2.97 (league 1.35)
| BK Hacken | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasteras SK FK | 0 | 1.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 62.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1