Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 15:45 •
Victor Tedesco Stadium
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.63)
2.88 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 11.7% | 75.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.0%
0 - 3
11.5%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Lucía | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mtarfa | 0 | 2.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mtarfa | Santa Lucía |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 53% |
| Attack | 0% | 41% |
| Defense | 0% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mtarfa | Santa Lucía | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 10% | 0% | 5% | 27% | 30% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 9% | 5% | 45% | 40% | 43% |
| Loses | 90% | 91% | 90% | 27% | 30% | 29% |
MtarfaLLLLLLLWLLDLLLLLLLLLL
Santa LucíaWLDWLDLLWDDDDWLDWDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Mtarfa | Santa Lucía | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 16 | 35 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 30 | 59 | 89 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mtarfa | Santa Lucía | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 24% | 100% | 76% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 86% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 67% | 19% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 52% | 10% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 43% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mtarfa | Santa Lucía | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mtarfa | Santa Lucía |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mtarfa | Santa Lucía |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 7-0 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-8 | 8-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mtarfa | Santa Lucía |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 18.5% | 81.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home56.00 @ Betfair
Draw14.35 @ Pinnacle
Away1.06 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.40 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.18 @ 1xBet
Under 2.54.00 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Mtarfa
vs
Santa Lucía
Expected goals
0.66
Mtarfa xG
League Avg: 1.63
Total
3.54
2.88
Santa Lucía xG
League Avg: 1.67
1x2 probabilities
Home
5.8%
Draw
11.7%
Away
75.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
12.0%
Tip
0 - 3
11.5%
Tip
0 - 1
8.3%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
74%
Chance
3.5+
53%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Mtarfa = 0.66 (league 1.63), Santa Lucía = 2.88 (league 1.67)
| Santa Lucía | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mtarfa | 0 | 2.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.8% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 75.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1