Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.72)
0.74 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.7% | 25.3% | 17.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Vratimov | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stonava | 0 | 9.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Stonava carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 65 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stonava +21.4, Vratimov +12.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Stonava
vs
Vratimov
Elo gapStonava +65
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3027.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3027.7
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1528.8 | 1498.9 |
| Form Elo | 1546.2 | 1510.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1510.8 | 1480.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1549.5 | 1485.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1518.3 | 1408.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +21.4 | +12.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Stonava last-5 Elo change: +21.4; Vratimov last-5 Elo change: +12.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 53% | 47% |
| Defense | 47% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 45% | 36% | 41% | 73% | 36% | 55% |
| Draws | 36% | 18% | 27% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Loses | 18% | 45% | 32% | 18% | 55% | 36% |
StonavaWDDLLWDLLDWWDDLWWWWLWL
VratimovWDWLDLLWLWLWWLWLWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 21 | 41 | 26 | 11 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 25 | 37 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stonava | Vratimov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 82% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 45% | 50% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 23% | 27% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-5 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-1 | 1-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stonava | Vratimov |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 41.2% | 58.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Stonava
vs
Vratimov
Expected goals
1.57
Stonava xG
League Avg: 1.72
Total
2.31
0.74
Vratimov xG
League Avg: 1.49
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.7%
Draw
25.3%
Away
17.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.6%
Tip
2 - 0
12.2%
Tip
1 - 1
11.5%
More chances
1.5+
87%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Stonava = 1.57 (league 1.72), Vratimov = 0.74 (league 1.49)
| Vratimov | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stonava | 0 | 9.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 17.5%
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