First League
— Armenia
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.61)
0.85 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.6% | 20.6% | 15.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| BKMA II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Syunik | 0 | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Syunik carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 32 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Syunik +37.3, BKMA II +13.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Syunik
vs
BKMA II
Elo gapSyunik +32
Home / draw / away40% / 26% / 34%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo3329.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3329.9
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Syunik | BKMA II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1663.4 | 1666.5 |
| Form Elo | 1698.9 | 1683.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1570.1 | 1574.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1848.4 | 1800.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1638.5 | 1599.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +37.3 | +13.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Syunik last-5 Elo change: +37.3; BKMA II last-5 Elo change: +13.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Syunik | BKMA II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 47% |
| Defense | 87% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 25 | 5 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Syunik | BKMA II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 82% | 75% | 78% | 73% | 73% | 73% |
| Draws | 0% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 14% |
| Loses | 18% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 9% | 14% |
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BKMA IIDWDLWLWWWWWWWWWWWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Syunik | BKMA II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 34 | 64 | 36 | 23 | 59 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Syunik | BKMA II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 48% | 86% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 17% | 68% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 9% | 50% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 0% | 18% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Syunik | BKMA II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Syunik | BKMA II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Syunik | BKMA II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-1 | 0-6 | 8-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 9 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Syunik | BKMA II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Syunik
vs
BKMA II
Expected goals
2.01
Syunik xG
League Avg: 1.61
Total
2.86
0.85
BKMA II xG
League Avg: 1.48
1x2 probabilities
Home
62.6%
Draw
20.6%
Away
15.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
11.6%
Tip
1 - 0
11.5%
Tip
2 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
70%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Syunik = 2.01 (league 1.61), BKMA II = 0.85 (league 1.48)
| BKMA II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Syunik | 0 | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.6% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 15.0%
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