Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 11:00 •
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.61)
1.84 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8% | 18.9% | 75.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.2%
0 - 2
20.5%
0 - 3
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Alashkert | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ararat | 0 | 12.1% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ararat | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 27% | 13% |
| Defense | 40% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ararat | Alashkert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 0% | 10% | 5% | 60% | 44% | 53% |
| Draws | 22% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 22% | 16% |
| Loses | 78% | 80% | 79% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
AraratDLLLLLLLDLLLDLLWLLL
AlashkertLWWWWWLWDWWLWDLWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ararat | Alashkert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 29 | 44 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ararat | Alashkert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 42% | 95% | 79% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 74% | 42% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 32% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ararat | Alashkert | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ararat | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ararat | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ararat | Alashkert |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 14% | 86% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ararat
vs
Alashkert
Expected goals
0.27
Ararat xG
League Avg: 1.61
Total
2.11
1.84
Alashkert xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
4.8%
Draw
18.9%
Away
75.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
22.2%
Tip
0 - 2
20.5%
Tip
0 - 3
12.6%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ararat = 0.27 (league 1.61), Alashkert = 1.84 (league 1.20)
| Alashkert | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ararat | 0 | 12.1% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.8% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 75.1%
vtt 6 , vtd1