Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 17:30 •
Szusza Ferenc Stadion
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.53)
1.14 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | 25.0% | 27.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| MTK Budapest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ujpest | 0 | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ujpest | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 31% | 25% |
| Defense | 63% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ujpest | MTK Budapest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 36% | 31% | 33% | 36% | 15% | 26% |
| Draws | 21% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 31% | 26% |
| Loses | 43% | 46% | 44% | 43% | 54% | 48% |
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MTK BudapestDLWLLWWWLWDLWLLLLDWLLDLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Ujpest | MTK Budapest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 19 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 19 | 25 | 44 | 27 | 29 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ujpest | MTK Budapest | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 93% | 81% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 44% | 44% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 19% | 22% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 11% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ujpest | MTK Budapest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ujpest | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ujpest | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-2 | 2-7 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ujpest | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.44 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ujpest
vs
MTK Budapest
Expected goals
1.58
Ujpest xG
League Avg: 1.53
Total
2.72
1.14
MTK Budapest xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
47.0%
Draw
25.0%
Away
27.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.9%
Tip
1 - 0
10.4%
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ujpest = 1.58 (league 1.53), MTK Budapest = 1.14 (league 1.35)
| MTK Budapest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ujpest | 0 | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.0% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 27.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1