Ekstraklasa
— Poland
Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 13:45 •
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Expected Goals
3.60 (league 1.59)
0.27 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
best score tips
3 - 0
16.2%
4 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Arka Gdynia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 78% |
| Defense | 11% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 50% | 10% | 30% | 60% | 0% | 32% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 30% | 11% | 21% |
| Loses | 30% | 70% | 50% | 10% | 89% | 47% |
Pogon SzczecinLWDLLWWLLLWDWLLWLDLD
Arka GdyniaLDDWLLWLDLWLWLWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 8 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 16 | 19 | 35 | 11 | 23 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 95% | 58% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 50% | 26% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 5% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away4.93 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.79 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Pogon Szczecin
vs
Arka Gdynia
Expected goals
3.60
Pogon Szczecin xG
League Avg: 1.59
Total
3.87
0.27
Arka Gdynia xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
78.8%
Draw
4.6%
Away
1.0%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
16.2%
Tip
4 - 0
14.6%
Tip
2 - 0
13.5%
More chances
1.5+
90%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Pogon Szczecin = 3.60 (league 1.59), Arka Gdynia = 0.27 (league 1.19)
| Arka Gdynia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.6% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 4.6% · Away win 1.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1