Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 15:45 •
De Grolsch Veste
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.75)
1.77 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 23.3% | 55.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| AZ Alkmaar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Twente | 0 | 6.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Twente | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 64% |
| Defense | 43% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Twente | AZ Alkmaar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 33% | 29% | 31% | 50% | 57% | 54% |
| Draws | 33% | 43% | 38% | 33% | 14% | 23% |
| Loses | 33% | 29% | 31% | 17% | 29% | 23% |
TwenteLLWLDWWWDLDDD
AZ AlkmaarWDWWDDLWWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Twente | AZ Alkmaar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Twente | AZ Alkmaar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 92% | 100% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 38% | 62% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 15% | 23% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 15% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Twente | AZ Alkmaar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Twente | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Twente | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-5 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Twente | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 37.7% | 62.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.26 @ 1xBet
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.61 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Twente
vs
AZ Alkmaar
Expected goals
0.95
Twente xG
League Avg: 1.75
Total
2.71
1.77
AZ Alkmaar xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
19.9%
Draw
23.3%
Away
55.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
11.7%
Tip
1 - 1
11.1%
Tip
0 - 2
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
62%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Twente = 0.95 (league 1.75), AZ Alkmaar = 1.77 (league 1.35)
| AZ Alkmaar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Twente | 0 | 6.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 55.8%
vtt 32 , vtd1