Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 14:45 •
Koning Willem II Stadion
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.75)
1.21 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.4% | 26.9% | 34.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.5%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Almere City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Willem II | 0 | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Willem II | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 63% | 69% |
| Defense | 81% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Willem II | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 47% | 50% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 49% |
| Draws | 24% | 22% | 23% | 17% | 6% | 11% |
| Loses | 29% | 28% | 29% | 33% | 47% | 40% |
Willem IILLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLWDWLWDWWLWW
Almere City FCWLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWWWWLDLLWLWWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Willem II | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 32 | 52 | 39 | 33 | 72 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 33 | 57 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Willem II | Almere City FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 69% | 89% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 31% | 63% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 6% | 34% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 17% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Willem II | Almere City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Willem II | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Willem II | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Willem II | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.10 @ 10Bet
Draw4.10 @ Betfair
Away3.27 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.38 @ Betano
No3.20 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Willem II
vs
Almere City FC
Expected goals
1.30
Willem II xG
League Avg: 1.75
Total
2.51
1.21
Almere City FC xG
League Avg: 1.41
1x2 probabilities
Home
38.4%
Draw
26.9%
Away
34.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.8%
Tip
1 - 0
10.5%
Tip
0 - 1
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
87%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Willem II = 1.30 (league 1.75), Almere City FC = 1.21 (league 1.41)
| Almere City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Willem II | 0 | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 34.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1