Championship
— England
Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:00 •
Bet365 Stadium
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.37)
0.98 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.5% | 28.8% | 29.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Middlesbrough | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stoke City | 0 | 11.1% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stoke City | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 64% |
| Defense | 82% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stoke City | Middlesbrough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 43% | 44% | 62% | 43% | 52% |
| Draws | 23% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 29% | 26% |
| Loses | 31% | 43% | 37% | 15% | 29% | 22% |
Stoke CityWWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLWLDLWWD
MiddlesbroughWWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWWWWLDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Stoke City | Middlesbrough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 11 | 17 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stoke City | Middlesbrough | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 59% | 74% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 19% | 48% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 4% | 19% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stoke City | Middlesbrough | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stoke City | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stoke City | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stoke City | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.96 @ 10Bet
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.09 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ 10Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Stoke City
vs
Middlesbrough
Expected goals
1.23
Stoke City xG
League Avg: 1.37
Total
2.21
0.98
Middlesbrough xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.5%
Draw
28.8%
Away
29.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.4%
Tip
1 - 1
13.2%
Tip
0 - 0
11.0%
More chances
1.5+
67%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Stoke City = 1.22 (league 1.38), Middlesbrough = 0.98 (league 1.14)
| Middlesbrough | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stoke City | 0 | 11.1% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 29.5%
vtt 5 , vtd1