League One
— England
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Sixfields Stadium
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.45)
0.96 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.5% | 29.0% | 29.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Burton Albion | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Northampton | 0 | 11.4% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Northampton | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 33% |
| Attack | 17% | 42% |
| Defense | 25% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Northampton | Burton Albion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 33% | 17% | 25% | 39% | 17% | 28% |
| Draws | 22% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 39% | 28% |
| Loses | 44% | 61% | 53% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
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League goals
| Metric | Northampton | Burton Albion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 12 | 31 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 19 | 29 | 48 | 23 | 28 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Northampton | Burton Albion | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 72% | 61% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 42% | 31% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 11% | 11% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 3% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Northampton | Burton Albion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Northampton | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Northampton | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Northampton | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Northampton
vs
Burton Albion
Expected goals
1.21
Northampton xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
2.17
0.96
Burton Albion xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.5%
Draw
29.0%
Away
29.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.8%
Tip
1 - 1
13.3%
Tip
0 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.21 (league 1.45), Burton Albion = 0.96 (league 1.14)
| Burton Albion | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Northampton | 0 | 11.4% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 29.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1