Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadion Mokri Dolac
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.32)
0.74 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 28.9% | 21.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Radnik Bijeljina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Posušje | 0 | 13.0% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Posušje carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 27 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Posušje +16.3, Radnik Bijeljina -19.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Posušje
vs
Radnik Bijeljina
Elo gapPosušje +27
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2928
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2928
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1459.9 | 1468.1 |
| Form Elo | 1476.9 | 1454.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1479.2 | 1436.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1365.4 | 1490.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1514.3 | 1517.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +16.3 | -19.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Posušje last-5 Elo change: +16.3; Radnik Bijeljina last-5 Elo change: -19.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 29% | 21% |
| Defense | 64% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 20% | 28% | 40% | 7% | 24% |
| Draws | 29% | 20% | 24% | 27% | 29% | 28% |
| Loses | 36% | 60% | 48% | 33% | 64% | 48% |
PosušjeDLLLDWLLLDLWLLDWDLDWWLWLWLLWD
Radnik BijeljinaDDWLWLDLDWDLWLLLLWDLLDWLDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 12 | 26 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 66% | 48% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 31% | 24% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 14% | 10% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Posušje | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.94 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away4.30 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.66 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Posušje
vs
Radnik Bijeljina
Expected goals
1.30
Posušje xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
2.04
0.74
Radnik Bijeljina xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.6%
Draw
28.9%
Away
21.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.9%
Tip
0 - 0
13.0%
Tip
1 - 1
12.5%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
54%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Posušje = 1.30 (league 1.32), Radnik Bijeljina = 0.74 (league 0.97)
| Radnik Bijeljina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Posušje | 0 | 13.0% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 21.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1