Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:30 •
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.53)
1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 25.4% | 25.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Rayo Vallecano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevilla | 0 | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 47% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 23% | 27% |
| Draws | 23% | 23% | 23% | 54% | 15% | 35% |
| Loses | 46% | 46% | 46% | 15% | 62% | 38% |
SevillaLLWDWLWWLLLWLLDWLLLDWLDDWD
Rayo VallecanoWLDLDLLWWWLDDDLDLDWLLLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 16 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 19 | 22 | 41 | 10 | 22 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 81% | 62% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 54% | 23% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 19% | 15% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sevilla | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.79 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away2.92 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sevilla
vs
Rayo Vallecano
Expected goals
1.55
Sevilla xG
League Avg: 1.53
Total
2.60
1.05
Rayo Vallecano xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
48.3%
Draw
25.4%
Away
25.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
Tip
1 - 0
11.5%
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sevilla = 1.55 (league 1.53), Rayo Vallecano = 1.05 (league 1.14)
| Rayo Vallecano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevilla | 0 | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 25.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1