La Liga — Spain
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:15 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.50) 0.63 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.4% 16.9% 8.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
12.7%
3 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Getafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 5.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.7% 8.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridGetafe
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack62%54%
Defense38%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Getafe
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins86%31%59%36%38%37%
Draws7%38%22%21%15%19%
Loses7%31%19%43%46%44%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWWWLLWWDWWDLLWWW • Getafe: WWLWLDDLLWWLLWLLLDLLDDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Getafe
HATHAT
GF total331346121123
GF avg2.41.01.70.90.80.9
GA total121325111829
GA avg0.91.00.90.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridGetafe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%59%59%70%
1.544%26%26%22%
2.530%7%0%11%
3.57%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridGetafe
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511448
Failed to score1346511

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridGetafe
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridGetafe
Wins62
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-01-24-0
Goals For5322
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridGetafe
Form43%57%
Att53%47%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h80%20%
Goals79%21%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away6.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 2.24 (league 1.50), Getafe = 0.63 (league 1.14)

Getafe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 5.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.7% 8.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.6% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 8.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1