Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:30 •
Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.49)
1.23 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 27.6% | 37.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Espanyol W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 9.0% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 40% |
| Defense | 0% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 50% | 38% | 44% | 13% | 43% | 27% |
| Draws | 38% | 38% | 38% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Loses | 13% | 25% | 19% | 63% | 29% | 47% |
Atletico Madrid WWWWDWDLDWWWLDDDL
Espanyol WLDDDLLWWLLWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 19 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 18 | 5 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 60% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 38% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 19% | 7% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 19% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 19% | 19% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.30 @ Unibet
Draw5.76 @ Pinnacle
Away10.70 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Atletico Madrid W
vs
Espanyol W
Expected goals
1.18
Atletico Madrid W xG
League Avg: 1.49
Total
2.40
1.23
Espanyol W xG
League Avg: 1.39
1x2 probabilities
Home
34.9%
Draw
27.6%
Away
37.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.0%
Tip
0 - 1
11.1%
Tip
1 - 0
10.6%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid W = 1.18 (league 1.49), Espanyol W = 1.23 (league 1.39)
| Espanyol W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 9.0% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 37.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1