Sat, Jan 17 2026 ā¢ 15:30 ā¢
Centro Deportivo Wanda AlcalĆ” de Henares
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.49)
1.26 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.0% | 27.4% | 38.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Espanyol W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 25% |
| Defense | 54% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 50% | 43% | 47% | 13% | 43% | 27% |
| Draws | 38% | 43% | 40% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Loses | 13% | 14% | 13% | 63% | 29% | 47% |
Form: Atletico Madrid W: WWWDWDLDWWWLDDD ā¢ Espanyol W: LDDDLLWWLLWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 19 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 60% | 60% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 13% | 7% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 2-1 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Espanyol W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Atletico Madrid W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Atletico Madrid W = 1.17 (league 1.49), Espanyol W = 1.26 (league 1.35)
| Espanyol W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% Ā· Draw 27.4% Ā· Away win 38.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1