Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 15:00 •
VBS Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.54)
1.39 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.6% | 22.5% | 28.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Wealdstone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sutton Utd | 0 | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 20% |
| Defense | 73% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Wealdstone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 14 | 31 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 14% | 23% | 43% | 20% | 31% |
| Draws | 41% | 29% | 35% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 29% | 57% | 42% | 29% | 47% | 38% |
Sutton UtdDDLLLWLLLLDDLDDLWDWWWLDLLDWDLDW
WealdstoneWWWLLLWDLDDWDLWWWDDDLDLLLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Wealdstone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 13 | 41 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 26 | 25 | 51 | 20 | 27 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sutton Utd | Wealdstone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 84% | 72% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 45% | 38% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 23% | 10% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 13% | 3% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Wealdstone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 2-3 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sutton Utd | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sutton Utd = 1.87 (league 1.54), Wealdstone = 1.39 (league 1.30)
| Wealdstone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sutton Utd | 0 | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 28.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1
