Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:30 •
Rasenplatz Hauptplatz Höingsweg
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.81)
1.47 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 24.6% | 37.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Büderich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BW Dingden | 0 | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: BW Dingden +0.8, Büderich -5.2.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
BW Dingden
vs
Büderich
Elo gapBW Dingden +11
Home / draw / away37% / 29% / 34%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo2972.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2972.1
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | BW Dingden | Büderich |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1474.2 | 1497.9 |
| Form Elo | 1469.8 | 1486.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1480.7 | 1509.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1408.8 | 1633.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1519.4 | 1314.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +0.8 | -5.2 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. BW Dingden last-5 Elo change: +0.8; Büderich last-5 Elo change: -5.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | BW Dingden | Büderich |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 29% | 65% |
| Defense | 82% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | BW Dingden | Büderich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 43% | 36% | 29% | 43% | 36% |
| Draws | 36% | 21% | 29% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Loses | 36% | 36% | 36% | 57% | 43% | 50% |
BW DingdenLDLWDWLDLWWDDLDWLWLLDLWWDWLW
BüderichLLLWWLLWWWLDDWLLWWLLWLDLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | BW Dingden | Büderich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 20 | 36 | 27 | 25 | 52 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 32 | 33 | 65 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | BW Dingden | Büderich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 61% | 82% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 46% | 50% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 21% | 32% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 18% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | BW Dingden | Büderich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | BW Dingden | Büderich |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | BW Dingden | Büderich |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | BW Dingden | Büderich |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 79% | 21% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.4% | 43.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
BW Dingden
vs
Büderich
Expected goals
1.46
BW Dingden xG
League Avg: 1.81
Total
2.93
1.47
Büderich xG
League Avg: 1.59
1x2 probabilities
Home
37.0%
Draw
24.6%
Away
37.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.5%
Tip
1 - 2
8.4%
Tip
2 - 1
8.4%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
67%
Chance
3.5+
48%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): BW Dingden = 1.46 (league 1.81), Büderich = 1.47 (league 1.59)
| Büderich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BW Dingden | 0 | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 37.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1