Campionato
— San-Marino
Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Igor Crescentini
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.36)
0.73 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.1% | 11.4% | 6.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
3 - 0
10.8%
4 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Libertas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Fiorita | 0 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Fiorita | Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 47% | 60% |
| Defense | 73% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Fiorita | Libertas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 73% | 57% | 40% | 18% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 18% | 33% | 20% | 36% | 29% |
| Loses | 10% | 9% | 10% | 40% | 45% | 43% |
La FioritaDWWDDWWWDWDWDWDWWLWLW
LibertasDLLWDDLLDDLWLLLWWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | La Fiorita | Libertas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 27 | 44 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 15 | 26 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Fiorita | Libertas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 62% | 76% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 24% | 29% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 5% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Fiorita | Libertas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Fiorita | Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Fiorita | Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Fiorita | Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 84% | 16% |
| Total | 68.7% | 31.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.17 @ Bet365
Draw6.90 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.47 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
La Fiorita
vs
Libertas
Expected goals
2.99
La Fiorita xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
3.72
0.73
Libertas xG
League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
74.1%
Draw
11.4%
Away
6.2%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
10.8%
Tip
3 - 0
10.8%
Tip
4 - 0
8.0%
More chances
1.5+
87%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): La Fiorita = 2.99 (league 1.36), Libertas = 0.73 (league 1.36)
| Libertas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Fiorita | 0 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.1% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 6.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1