Campionato
— San-Marino
Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 19:15 •
Stadio Fonte dellOvo
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.36)
0.40 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.2% | 37.4% | 15.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.7%
1 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tre Penne | 0 | 26.7% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tre Penne | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 80% | 60% |
| Defense | 80% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tre Penne | Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 67% | 71% | 69% | 86% | 58% | 73% |
| Draws | 33% | 14% | 23% | 14% | 25% | 19% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 8% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
Tre PenneWWWDWLDDDWWLWWWWWWWWDWWWWD
VirtusDWWWWWWWWDLWWWDWWDWWWWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Tre Penne | Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 35 | 57 | 35 | 21 | 56 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tre Penne | Virtus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 42% | 88% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 12% | 77% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 4% | 35% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tre Penne | Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tre Penne | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tre Penne | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-6 | 6-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tre Penne | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.76 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Tre Penne
vs
Virtus
Expected goals
0.92
Tre Penne xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
1.32
0.40
Virtus xG
League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
47.2%
Draw
37.4%
Away
15.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
26.7%
Tip
1 - 0
24.7%
Tip
2 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Tre Penne = 0.92 (league 1.36), Virtus = 0.40 (league 1.36)
| Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tre Penne | 0 | 26.7% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 15.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1