Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 18:00 •
Degouve-Brabant Stadium
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.78)
2.56 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5% | 18.0% | 57.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 3
7.4%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Montpellier W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 1.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lens W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 13% |
| Attack | 11% | 26% |
| Defense | 53% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lens W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 13% | 38% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
| Loses | 63% | 63% | 63% | 63% | 75% | 69% |
Form: Lens W: DDLLLLLLWDWLLDLL • Montpellier W: LLLWWLLLLDLLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Lens W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lens W | Montpellier W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 94% | 88% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 63% | 38% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 31% | 6% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 19% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lens W | Montpellier W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lens W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lens W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lens W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Montpellier W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lens W = 1.42 (league 1.78), Montpellier W = 2.56 (league 1.31)
| Montpellier W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lens W | 0 | 1.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 57.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1