URK vs Hercules - footywow

Derde Divisie - Saturday — Netherlands

Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 14:00 • Sportpark De Vormt

Match Finished

URK

0 - 2

Hercules

Expected Goals

3.36 (league 1.81) 1.13 (league 1.55)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
67.1%	11.6%	8.7%

best score tips

3 - 1

8.0%

2 - 1

7.2%

3 - 0

7.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Hercules
		0	1	2	3	4	5
URK	0	1.1%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	3.8%	4.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	6.3%	7.2%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	7.1%	8.0%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	6.0%	6.7%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	5	4.0%	4.5%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	URK	Hercules
Played	5	5
Form	60%	40%
Attack	92%	38%
Defense	23%	23%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	12 \| 2.4	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

85%

FT probability

3.5+

61%

FT probability

BTTS

78%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	URK			Hercules
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	9	17	9	8	17
Wins	25%	33%	29%	56%	0%	29%
Draws	25%	0%	12%	0%	13%	6%
Loses	50%	67%	59%	44%	88%	65%

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League goals

Metric	URK			Hercules
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	17	13	30	15	4	19
GF avg	2.1	1.4	1.8	1.7	0.5	1.1
GA total	28	26	54	11	23	34
GA avg	3.5	2.9	3.2	1.2	2.9	2.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	URK		Hercules
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	94%	53%	82%
1.5	41%	82%	35%	65%
2.5	29%	76%	12%	24%
3.5	24%	29%	6%	18%
4.5	12%	24%	6%	12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	URK			Hercules
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	1	1	3	0	3
Failed to score	1	4	5	2	6	8

Penalties

Metric	URK	Hercules
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	URK	Hercules
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	3	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-4	2-5	5-2	—
Biggest losses	0-6	6-0	0-2	5-0
Goals For	5	5	5	2
Goals Against	6	6	2	5

Model comparison

Metric	URK	Hercules
Form	60%	40%
Att	71%	29%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	73%	27%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	16%	84%
Total	54.0%	46.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • URK vs Hercules

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

URK

Hercules

Derde Divisie - Saturday • Netherlands • Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 14:00 • Sportpark De Vormt

Expected goals

3.36

URK xG League Avg: 1.81

Total

4.49

1.13

Hercules xG League Avg: 1.55

1x2 probabilities

Home

67.1%

Draw

11.6%

Away

8.7%

Best score tips

Tip

3 - 1

8.0%

Tip

2 - 1

7.2%

Tip

3 - 0

7.1%

More chances

1.5+

95%

Chance

2.5+

85%

Chance

3.5+

61%

Chance

BTTS

78%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Urk #Hercules #DerdeDivisieSaturday #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): URK = 3.36 (league 1.81), Hercules = 1.13 (league 1.55)

		Hercules
		0	1	2	3	4	5
URK	0	1.1%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	3.8%	4.3%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	6.3%	7.2%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	7.1%	8.0%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	6.0%	6.7%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	5	4.0%	4.5%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 8.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	URK	Hercules
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0