Pergolettese vs Pro Patria

Serie C - Girone A — Italy

Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 16:30 • Giuseppe Voltini

Match Finished

Pergolettese

2 - 1

Pro Patria

Expected Goals

1.12 (league 1.29) 0.88 (league 1.03)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
40.8%	30.5%	28.5%

best score tips

1 - 0

15.1%

0 - 0

13.5%

1 - 1

13.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Pro Patria
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Pergolettese	0	13.5%	11.9%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	15.1%	13.3%	5.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	8.5%	7.5%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Pergolettese	Pro Patria
Played	5	5
Form	47%	20%
Attack	31%	25%
Defense	69%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%

FT probability

2.5+

47%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

63%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Pergolettese			Pro Patria
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	16	17	33	17	16	33
Wins	31%	18%	24%	12%	6%	9%
Draws	13%	41%	27%	35%	25%	30%
Loses	56%	41%	48%	53%	69%	61%

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Pro PatriaLDLDLLDDLWDLDLWLLLLLLLLLDWLLDDDLL

League goals

Metric	Pergolettese			Pro Patria
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	14	16	30	14	11	25
GF avg	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.8	0.7	0.8
GA total	21	23	44	34	26	60
GA avg	1.3	1.4	1.3	2.0	1.6	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Pergolettese		Pro Patria
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	55%	85%	52%	82%
1.5	27%	39%	21%	64%
2.5	9%	9%	3%	27%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	9%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Pergolettese			Pro Patria
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	3	3	6
Failed to score	8	7	15	8	8	16

Penalties

Metric	Pergolettese	Pro Patria
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	4

Streaks

Metric	Pergolettese	Pro Patria
Wins	3	1
Draws	2	3
Losses	4	9

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	2-3	3-1	0-1
Biggest losses	0-3	3-1	0-4	3-0
Goals For	3	3	3	2
Goals Against	3	3	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	Pergolettese	Pro Patria
Form	70%	30%
Att	56%	44%
Def	62%	38%
Poisson Distribution	59%	41%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	51.5%	48.5%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.65 @ Dafabet

Away5.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet

No1.70 @ William Hill

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Pergolettese vs Pro Patria

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Pergolettese

Pro Patria

Serie C - Girone A • Italy • Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 16:30 • Giuseppe Voltini

Expected goals

1.12

Pergolettese xG League Avg: 1.29

Total

2.00

0.88

Pro Patria xG League Avg: 1.03

1x2 probabilities

Home

40.8%

Draw

30.5%

Away

28.5%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

15.1%

Tip

0 - 0

13.5%

Tip

1 - 1

13.3%

More chances

1.5+

66%

Chance

2.5+

47%

Chance

3.5+

33%

Chance

BTTS

63%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Pergolettese #ProPatria #SerieCGironeA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Pergolettese = 1.12 (league 1.29), Pro Patria = 0.88 (league 1.03)

		Pro Patria
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Pergolettese	0	13.5%	11.9%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	15.1%	13.3%	5.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	8.5%	7.5%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 28.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Pergolettese	Pro Patria
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	4