Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 • Citta di Arezzo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.23) 0.52 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.9% 11.2% 4.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArezzoPontedera
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack73%45%
Defense36%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arezzo Pontedera
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins78%64%70%30%10%20%
Draws11%27%20%20%30%25%
Loses11%9%10%50%60%55%

Form: Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDW • Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Arezzo Pontedera
HATHAT
GF total17213810717
GF avg1.91.91.91.00.70.9
GA total7916181836
GA avg0.80.80.81.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArezzoPontedera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%55%60%90%
1.550%20%25%55%
2.535%5%0%20%
3.510%0%0%10%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArezzoPontedera
HATHAT
Clean sheets459112
Failed to score112448

Penalties

MetricArezzoPontedera
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricArezzoPontedera
Wins51
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-12-10-45-0
Goals For5422
Goals Against3245

Model comparison

MetricArezzoPontedera
Form80%20%
Att62%38%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Winner : Arezzo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Betano
Draw5.20 @ Dafabet
Away10.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 2.78 (league 1.23), Pontedera = 0.52 (league 1.08)

Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.3% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.9% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 4.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1