Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 •
Citta di Arezzo
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.20)
0.52 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.8% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
13.2%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Pontedera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arezzo | 0 | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.2% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arezzo | Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 73% | 45% |
| Defense | 36% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arezzo | Pontedera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 78% | 64% | 70% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Draws | 11% | 27% | 20% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Loses | 11% | 9% | 10% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
ArezzoWWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDDW
PontederaLLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Arezzo | Pontedera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arezzo | Pontedera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 55% | 60% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 20% | 25% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 5% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arezzo | Pontedera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arezzo | Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arezzo | Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arezzo | Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.30 @ Betano
Draw5.20 @ Dafabet
Away10.80 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.78 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arezzo
vs
Pontedera
Expected goals
2.85
Arezzo xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
3.37
0.52
Pontedera xG
League Avg: 1.07
1x2 probabilities
Home
77.8%
Draw
10.8%
Away
4.4%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
13.9%
Tip
3 - 0
13.2%
Tip
1 - 0
9.8%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 2.85 (league 1.20), Pontedera = 0.52 (league 1.07)
| Pontedera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arezzo | 0 | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.2% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 4.4%
vtt 3 , vtd1