Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 10:00 •
Hasan DoÄŸan Stadyumu
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.58)
2.59 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1% | 11.9% | 79.2% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.6%
0 - 3
14.3%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Karacabey Belediyespor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kepez Belediyespor | 0 | 4.9% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kepez Belediyespor | Karacabey Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 47% |
| Attack | 23% | 62% |
| Defense | 0% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kepez Belediyespor | Karacabey Belediyespor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 28% |
| Draws | 11% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Loses | 78% | 67% | 72% | 67% | 44% | 56% |
Kepez BelediyesporDDLLLLWWLLLLLLLLDL
Karacabey BelediyesporDLLWWLLLLWLDLLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Kepez Belediyespor | Karacabey Belediyespor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 26 | 18 | 44 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GA avg | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kepez Belediyespor | Karacabey Belediyespor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 83% | 72% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 72% | 22% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 39% | 11% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 28% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kepez Belediyespor | Karacabey Belediyespor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kepez Belediyespor | Karacabey Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kepez Belediyespor | Karacabey Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kepez Belediyespor | Karacabey Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 14% | 86% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 29.8% | 70.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.04 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away1.60 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.89 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Kepez Belediyespor
vs
Karacabey Belediyespor
Expected goals
0.42
Kepez Belediyespor xG
League Avg: 1.58
Total
3.01
2.59
Karacabey Belediyespor xG
League Avg: 1.34
1x2 probabilities
Home
4.1%
Draw
11.9%
Away
79.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
16.6%
Tip
0 - 3
14.3%
Tip
0 - 1
12.8%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Kepez Belediyespor = 0.42 (league 1.58), Karacabey Belediyespor = 2.59 (league 1.34)
| Karacabey Belediyespor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kepez Belediyespor | 0 | 4.9% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.1% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 79.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1