Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 10:00 •
Erbaa Ilçe Stadyumu
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.58)
1.42 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.8% | 26.7% | 45.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Kepez Belediyespor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erbaaspor | 0 | 8.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erbaaspor | Kepez Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 45% | 55% |
| Defense | 36% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erbaaspor | Kepez Belediyespor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 36% | 21% | 29% | 14% | 23% | 19% |
| Draws | 7% | 29% | 18% | 14% | 31% | 22% |
| Loses | 57% | 50% | 54% | 71% | 46% | 59% |
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Kepez BelediyesporDDLLLLWWLLLLLLLLDLWWDLDLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Erbaaspor | Kepez Belediyespor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 17 | 32 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 26 | 22 | 48 | 35 | 20 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erbaaspor | Kepez Belediyespor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 82% | 67% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 46% | 19% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 32% | 4% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erbaaspor | Kepez Belediyespor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erbaaspor | Kepez Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erbaaspor | Kepez Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-6 | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-6 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erbaaspor | Kepez Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.94 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Erbaaspor
vs
Kepez Belediyespor
Expected goals
1.05
Erbaaspor xG
League Avg: 1.58
Total
2.46
1.42
Kepez Belediyespor xG
League Avg: 1.34
1x2 probabilities
Home
27.8%
Draw
26.7%
Away
45.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.6%
Tip
0 - 1
12.1%
Tip
1 - 2
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
80%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Erbaaspor = 1.05 (league 1.58), Kepez Belediyespor = 1.42 (league 1.34)
| Kepez Belediyespor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erbaaspor | 0 | 8.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 45.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1