2. Lig — Turkey
Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 10:00 • Erbaa Ilçe Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.62) 1.46 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 26.3% 46.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kepez Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbaaspor 0 8.4% 12.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.4% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbaasporKepez Belediyespor
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack45%55%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbaaspor Kepez Belediyespor
HATHAT
Played141428141327
Wins36%21%29%14%23%19%
Draws7%29%18%14%31%22%
Loses57%50%54%71%46%59%

Form: Erbaaspor: DLWWDLLWWWWLLLLLLLLLWLDDLLWD • Kepez Belediyespor: DDLLLLWWLLLLLLLLDLWWDLDLLWD

League goals

Metric Erbaaspor Kepez Belediyespor
HATHAT
GF total151732121325
GF avg1.11.21.10.91.00.9
GA total262248352055
GA avg1.91.61.72.51.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbaasporKepez Belediyespor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%67%78%
1.529%46%19%59%
2.57%32%4%33%
3.57%7%4%19%
4.54%4%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbaasporKepez Belediyespor
HATHAT
Clean sheets415336
Failed to score6410549

Penalties

MetricErbaasporKepez Belediyespor
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricErbaasporKepez Belediyespor
Wins42
Draws22
Losses98

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-62-10-4
Biggest losses0-53-00-64-0
Goals For4624
Goals Against5364

Model comparison

MetricErbaasporKepez Belediyespor
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h71%29%
Goals86%14%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Erbaaspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away3.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbaaspor = 1.02 (league 1.62), Kepez Belediyespor = 1.46 (league 1.30)

Kepez Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbaaspor 0 8.4% 12.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.4% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 46.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1