Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Eden Park Avenue
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.90)
2.28 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 19.0% | 61.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Deal Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beckenham Town | 0 | 3.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Deal Town carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 74 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Beckenham Town +12.0, Deal Town -15.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Beckenham Town
vs
Deal Town
Elo gapDeal Town +74
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo2952.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2952.4
Elo home share
39%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Beckenham Town | Deal Town |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1421.5 | 1530.9 |
| Form Elo | 1426.8 | 1523.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1454.6 | 1512.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1495.6 | 1644.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1301 | 1480.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.0 | -15.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Beckenham Town last-5 Elo change: +12.0; Deal Town last-5 Elo change: -15.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Beckenham Town | Deal Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 35% |
| Defense | 52% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Beckenham Town | Deal Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 20 | 37 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 18% | 20% | 19% | 50% | 42% | 46% |
| Draws | 29% | 30% | 30% | 15% | 16% | 15% |
| Loses | 53% | 50% | 51% | 35% | 42% | 38% |
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Deal TownLLLWLWDWWLWDWWLLWLWLLDDWLWWWWWWLLWDDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Beckenham Town | Deal Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 25 | 46 | 47 | 30 | 77 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 37 | 43 | 80 | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Beckenham Town | Deal Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 92% | 85% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 54% | 51% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 35% | 36% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 19% | 15% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 8% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Beckenham Town | Deal Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Beckenham Town | Deal Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Beckenham Town | Deal Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 7-2 | 1-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Beckenham Town | Deal Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Beckenham Town
vs
Deal Town
Expected goals
1.07
Beckenham Town xG
League Avg: 1.90
Total
3.35
2.28
Deal Town xG
League Avg: 1.55
1x2 probabilities
Home
16.5%
Draw
19.0%
Away
61.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.8%
Tip
0 - 2
9.1%
Tip
1 - 1
8.6%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
69%
Chance
3.5+
49%
Chance
BTTS
81%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Beckenham Town = 1.07 (league 1.90), Deal Town = 2.28 (league 1.55)
| Deal Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beckenham Town | 0 | 3.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 61.5%
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