Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.59)
0.35 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
best score tips
3 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
13.4%
4 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Golemo Konjari | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sasa | 0 | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.3% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.1% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sasa carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 187 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sasa -3.1, Golemo Konjari -15.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sasa
vs
Golemo Konjari
Elo gapSasa +187
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share75%
Combined Elo2760.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2760.2
Elo home share
75%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Sasa | Golemo Konjari |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1455.9 | 1304.3 |
| Form Elo | 1456.4 | 1288.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1480.1 | 1408.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1557.1 | 1319.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1343.4 | 1040.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -3.1 | -15.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sasa last-5 Elo change: -3.1; Golemo Konjari last-5 Elo change: -15.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sasa | Golemo Konjari |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 21% | 17% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sasa | Golemo Konjari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 25% | 31% | 28% | 15% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 42% | 23% | 32% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| Loses | 33% | 46% | 40% | 77% | 100% | 88% |
SasaDDLWLDDWLLWDWLLLWDWLDLWDL
Golemo KonjariLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLDLLLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sasa | Golemo Konjari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 27 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 31 | 48 | 42 | 50 | 92 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 3.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sasa | Golemo Konjari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 80% | 40% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 56% | 16% | 84% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 28% | 0% | 64% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 8% | 0% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 28% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sasa | Golemo Konjari | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sasa | Golemo Konjari |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sasa | Golemo Konjari |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-8 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 7-0 | 0-9 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sasa | Golemo Konjari |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sasa
vs
Golemo Konjari
Expected goals
3.43
Sasa xG
League Avg: 1.59
Total
3.79
0.35
Golemo Konjari xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
79.0%
Draw
6.0%
Away
1.6%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
15.3%
Tip
2 - 0
13.4%
Tip
4 - 0
13.1%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
76%
Chance
3.5+
54%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sasa = 3.43 (league 1.59), Golemo Konjari = 0.35 (league 1.19)
| Golemo Konjari | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sasa | 0 | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.3% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.1% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.0% · Draw 6.0% · Away win 1.6%
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