Sambiase vs Paternò

Serie D - Girone I — Italy

Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Guido D'Ippolito

Match Finished

Sambiase

3 - 1

Paternò

Expected Goals

2.02 (league 1.34) 0.45 (league 1.06)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
72.9%	18.2%	7.2%

best score tips

2 - 0

17.2%

1 - 0

17.1%

3 - 0

11.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Paternò
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sambiase	0	8.5%	3.8%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	17.1%	7.7%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	17.2%	7.8%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	11.6%	5.2%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	5.8%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	2.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sambiase	Paternò
Played	5	5
Form	80%	27%
Attack	44%	38%
Defense	75%	38%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%

FT probability

2.5+

49%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sambiase			Paternò
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	14	29	15	14	29
Wins	27%	57%	41%	27%	0%	14%
Draws	47%	14%	31%	27%	14%	21%
Loses	27%	29%	28%	47%	86%	66%

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PaternòLDLDDWLLWLLLLLLDLDLLLLLWLWLDL

League goals

Metric	Sambiase			Paternò
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	15	30	11	8	19
GF avg	1.0	1.1	1.0	0.7	0.6	0.7
GA total	12	11	23	22	38	60
GA avg	0.8	0.8	0.8	1.5	2.7	2.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sambiase		Paternò
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	66%	62%	45%	83%
1.5	31%	17%	14%	62%
2.5	7%	0%	7%	34%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	17%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sambiase			Paternò
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	7	11	4	1	5
Failed to score	5	5	10	9	7	16

Penalties

Metric	Sambiase	Paternò
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	3

Streaks

Metric	Sambiase	Paternò
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	6

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-3	3-2	—
Biggest losses	1-2	2-0	1-4	6-0
Goals For	3	3	3	2
Goals Against	2	2	4	6

Model comparison

Metric	Sambiase	Paternò
Form	75%	25%
Att	54%	46%
Def	71%	29%
Poisson Distribution	83%	17%
H2h	88%	13%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	73.0%	27.2%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ 188Bet

Draw4.90 @ Dafabet

Away11.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ Superbet

No1.68 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Sambiase vs Paternò

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Sambiase

Paternò

Serie D - Girone I • Italy • Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Guido D'Ippolito

Expected goals

2.02

Sambiase xG League Avg: 1.34

Total

2.47

0.45

Paternò xG League Avg: 1.06

1x2 probabilities

Home

72.9%

Draw

18.2%

Away

7.2%

Best score tips

Tip

2 - 0

17.2%

Tip

1 - 0

17.1%

Tip

3 - 0

11.6%

More chances

1.5+

69%

Chance

2.5+

49%

Chance

3.5+

35%

Chance

BTTS

64%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Sambiase #Paternò #SerieDGironeI #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Sambiase = 2.02 (league 1.34), Paternò = 0.45 (league 1.06)

		Paternò
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sambiase	0	8.5%	3.8%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	17.1%	7.7%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	17.2%	7.8%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	11.6%	5.2%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	5.8%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	2.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 7.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Sambiase	Paternò
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	3