Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio A Lomba
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.30) 0.93 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 21.5% 17.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 0
10.7%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Somozas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arosa 0 5.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.0% 10.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArosaSomozas
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack59%35%
Defense82%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arosa Somozas
HATHAT
Played121426121426
Wins58%57%58%50%36%42%
Draws42%21%31%42%29%35%
Loses0%21%12%8%36%23%
ArosaWDDWWLWDWDDWLWLDWWWWDWWDWW
SomozasDLWDWWWWWDDLLWLWWWDLDDDDWL

League goals

Metric Arosa Somozas
HATHAT
GF total272148131427
GF avg2.31.51.81.11.01.0
GA total12172951621
GA avg1.01.21.10.41.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArosaSomozas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%65%62%50%
1.565%35%31%15%
2.515%12%12%8%
3.512%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArosaSomozas
HATHAT
Clean sheets4597613
Failed to score0333710

Penalties

MetricArosaSomozas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArosaSomozas
Wins45
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-23-00-3
Biggest losses—3-00-15-0
Goals For5433
Goals Against2315

Model comparison

MetricArosaSomozas
Form68%32%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total68.3%31.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away5.64 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
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Prediction and Tips for:

Arosa
vs
Somozas
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 • Spain • Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio A Lomba
Expected goals
1.95
Arosa xG League Avg: 1.30
Total
2.87
0.93
Somozas xG League Avg: 1.08
1x2 probabilities
Home
59.7%
Draw
21.5%
Away
17.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
11.0%
Tip
2 - 0
10.7%
Tip
1 - 1
10.2%
More chances
1.5+
72%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Arosa #Somozas #TerceraDivisiónRfefGroup1 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Arosa = 1.95 (league 1.30), Somozas = 0.93 (league 1.08)

Somozas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arosa 0 5.6% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.0% 10.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 17.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1