Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 18:30 •
Polideportivo Municipal de Magaluf
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.56)
0.81 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | 26.7% | 20.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Llosetense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Platges Calvià | 0 | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Llosetense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 40% | 50% |
| Defense | 60% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Llosetense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 56% | 13% | 35% | 50% | 33% | 41% |
| Draws | 22% | 25% | 24% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 22% | 63% | 41% | 13% | 33% | 24% |
Platges CalviàLDWDWWLWWDLLDLWLL
LlosetenseWLWWDWWDDWDDLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Llosetense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Platges Calvià | Llosetense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 82% | 71% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 24% | 35% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Llosetense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Llosetense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Llosetense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Platges Calvià | Llosetense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away3.60 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ 1xBet
No1.74 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Platges Calvià
vs
Llosetense
Expected goals
1.46
Platges Calvià xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
2.27
0.81
Llosetense xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
52.0%
Draw
26.7%
Away
20.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.1%
Tip
1 - 1
12.2%
Tip
2 - 0
11.0%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Platges Calvià = 1.46 (league 1.56), Llosetense = 0.81 (league 1.11)
| Llosetense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Platges Calvià | 0 | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 20.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1