Toledo vs Pedroñeras

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 — Spain

Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo

Match Finished

Toledo

2 - 1

Pedroñeras

Expected Goals

3.95 (league 1.27) 0.42 (league 0.96)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
73.5%	4.4%	1.3%

best score tips

3 - 0

13.0%

4 - 0

12.9%

5 - 0

10.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Pedroñeras
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Toledo	0	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	5.0%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	9.9%	4.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	13.0%	5.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	12.9%	5.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	10.2%	4.2%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Toledo	Pedroñeras
Played	5	5
Form	87%	20%
Attack	79%	36%
Defense	86%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%

FT probability

2.5+

53%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

67%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Toledo			Pedroñeras
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	8	8	16	8	8	16
Wins	88%	38%	63%	13%	0%	6%
Draws	13%	63%	38%	63%	25%	44%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	25%	75%	50%

ToledoDDDWDWWWWDWDWWWW

PedroñerasLDDLWLDLDLLDLDLD

League goals

Metric	Toledo			Pedroñeras
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	22	7	29	8	6	14
GF avg	2.8	0.9	1.8	1.0	0.8	0.9
GA total	4	3	7	11	14	25
GA avg	0.5	0.4	0.4	1.4	1.8	1.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Toledo		Pedroñeras
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	81%	44%	63%	81%
1.5	50%	0%	19%	56%
2.5	25%	0%	6%	19%
3.5	13%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	6%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Toledo			Pedroñeras
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	5	9	2	1	3
Failed to score	0	3	3	3	3	6

Penalties

Metric	Toledo	Pedroñeras
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Toledo	Pedroñeras
Wins	4	1
Draws	3	2
Losses	0	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-1	0-2	3-2	—
Biggest losses	—	—	1-3	3-1
Goals For	6	2	3	2
Goals Against	1	1	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Toledo	Pedroñeras
Form	81%	19%
Att	69%	31%
Def	78%	22%
Poisson Distribution	91%	9%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	63%	38%
Total	74.0%	26.2%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.15 @ Betano

Draw7.52 @ Pinnacle

Away23.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ William Hill

No1.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.52.35 @ Betano

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Toledo vs Pedroñeras

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Toledo

Pedroñeras

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 • Spain • Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo

Expected goals

3.95

Toledo xG League Avg: 1.27

Total

4.37

0.42

Pedroñeras xG League Avg: 0.96

1x2 probabilities

Home

73.5%

Draw

4.4%

Away

1.3%

Best score tips

Tip

3 - 0

13.0%

Tip

4 - 0

12.9%

Tip

5 - 0

10.2%

More chances

1.5+

76%

Chance

2.5+

53%

Chance

3.5+

38%

Chance

BTTS

67%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Toledo #Pedroñeras #TerceraDivisiónRfefGroup18 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Toledo = 3.95 (league 1.27), Pedroñeras = 0.42 (league 0.96)

		Pedroñeras
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Toledo	0	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	5.0%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	9.9%	4.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	13.0%	5.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	12.9%	5.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	10.2%	4.2%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 4.4% · Away win 1.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Toledo	Pedroñeras
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0