Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.04)
1.32 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.5% | 28.2% | 47.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Homeboyz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KCB | 0 | 11.2% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Homeboyz carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 51 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: KCB -3.4, Homeboyz +4.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
KCB
vs
Homeboyz
Elo gapHomeboyz +51
Home / draw / away33% / 24% / 43%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo3080.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3080.4
Elo home share
43%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | KCB | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1497 | 1583.4 |
| Form Elo | 1501.5 | 1586 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1474.7 | 1534 |
| Attack Elo | 1431.9 | 1570.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1554.4 | 1590.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -3.4 | +4.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. KCB last-5 Elo change: -3.4; Homeboyz last-5 Elo change: +4.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KCB | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 35% | 47% |
| Defense | 65% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KCB | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 50% | 39% | 47% | 38% | 43% |
| Draws | 29% | 21% | 25% | 47% | 23% | 36% |
| Loses | 43% | 29% | 36% | 7% | 38% | 21% |
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HomeboyzDWLWWWDDLWDDLDWLWDWWDWLDWWDL
League goals
| Metric | KCB | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 42 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KCB | Homeboyz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 64% | 79% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 32% | 50% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 11% | 18% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KCB | Homeboyz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | KCB | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | KCB | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KCB | Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
KCB
vs
Homeboyz
Expected goals
0.87
KCB xG
League Avg: 1.04
Total
2.19
1.32
Homeboyz xG
League Avg: 0.91
1x2 probabilities
Home
24.5%
Draw
28.2%
Away
47.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
14.8%
Tip
1 - 1
12.8%
Tip
0 - 0
11.2%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): KCB = 0.87 (league 1.04), Homeboyz = 1.32 (league 0.91)
| Homeboyz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KCB | 0 | 11.2% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 47.1%
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