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FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Bandari carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 113 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bandari +8.7, Ulinzi Stars +19.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Bandari Elo 1535.6 · +8.7
vs
Ulinzi Stars Elo 1457.5 · +19.0
Elo gapBandari +113
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo2993.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2993.1
Elo home share 66%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Bandari Ulinzi Stars
Overall Elo1535.61457.5
Form Elo15381459.5
Home / Away Elo1521.91495.9
Attack Elo1389.71478.8
Defense Elo1639.61538.9
Last 5 Elo change+8.7+19.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Bandari last-5 Elo change: +8.7; Ulinzi Stars last-5 Elo change: +19.0.

vtt 1 , vtd1