Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Stadion TJ Jiskra
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.73)
0.93 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.1% | 30.4% | 30.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Neratovice-Byškovice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 0 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Neratovice-Byškovice carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 43 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ústí nad Orlicí -15.4, Neratovice-Byškovice -36.6.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Ústí nad Orlicí
vs
Neratovice-Byškovice
Elo gapNeratovice-Byškovice +43
Home / draw / away33% / 25% / 42%
Expected home share44%
Combined Elo2928
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2928
Elo home share
44%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1425.2 | 1502.8 |
| Form Elo | 1410.2 | 1490.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.8 | 1498.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1399.8 | 1617.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1467 | 1475.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -15.4 | -36.6 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ústí nad Orlicí last-5 Elo change: -15.4; Neratovice-Byškovice last-5 Elo change: -36.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 14% | 27% |
| Defense | 64% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 27% | 15% | 21% | 36% | 17% | 26% |
| Draws | 27% | 31% | 29% | 18% | 42% | 30% |
| Loses | 45% | 54% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 43% |
Ústí nad OrlicíWWLDDLWLLDDDLDLLLLWWDLLL
Neratovice-ByškoviceWLLLDWDWLLLWDLWDWDLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 26 | 38 | 17 | 23 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 88% | 65% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 46% | 39% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 25% | 17% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ústí nad Orlicí | Neratovice-Byškovice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ústí nad Orlicí
vs
Neratovice-Byškovice
Expected goals
1.10
Ústí nad Orlicí xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
2.03
0.93
Neratovice-Byškovice xG
League Avg: 1.41
1x2 probabilities
Home
39.1%
Draw
30.4%
Away
30.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.4%
Tip
1 - 1
13.4%
Tip
0 - 0
13.1%
More chances
1.5+
77%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ústí nad Orlicí = 1.10 (league 1.72), Neratovice-Byškovice = 0.94 (league 1.41)
| Neratovice-Byškovice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 0 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 30.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1