Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 01:30 •
Rio Tinto Stadium
Expected Goals
4.69 (league 1.28)
1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.8%
4 - 0
6.7%
5 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Austin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Salt Lake | 0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Austin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 44% |
| Attack | 24% | 19% |
| Defense | 81% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Austin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Real Salt LakeLWW
AustinDWL
League goals
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Austin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Salt Lake | Austin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Austin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Austin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Austin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Salt Lake | Austin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 68% | 32% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.91 @ 188Bet
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Salt Lake = 4.69 (league 1.28), Austin = 1.02 (league 0.98)
| Austin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Salt Lake | 0 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.8% · Draw 5.2% · Away win 3.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
