Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 19:00 •
Arena da Baixada
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.36)
2.32 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 18.1% | 64.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.1%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Coritiba | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Paranaense | 0 | 3.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 88% | 88% |
| Defense | 13% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 75% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 29% |
Atletico ParanaenseWWLDLW
CoritibaLWDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 71% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 43% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Paranaense | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 35.0% | 65.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away4.56 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.44 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Atletico Paranaense
vs
Coritiba
Expected goals
0.96
Atletico Paranaense xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
3.28
2.32
Coritiba xG
League Avg: 0.86
1x2 probabilities
Home
14.0%
Draw
18.1%
Away
64.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
10.1%
Tip
1 - 2
9.7%
Tip
0 - 1
8.7%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
71%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Atletico Paranaense = 0.96 (league 1.36), Coritiba = 2.32 (league 0.86)
| Coritiba | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Paranaense | 0 | 3.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 64.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1