Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio La Corregidora
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.66)
2.00 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 21.4% | 56.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
0 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlas W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Querétaro W | 0 | 4.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Querétaro W | Atlas W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 32% | 68% |
| Defense | 32% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Querétaro W | Atlas W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 15% | 7% | 11% | 31% | 21% | 26% |
| Draws | 31% | 7% | 19% | 15% | 29% | 22% |
| Loses | 54% | 86% | 70% | 54% | 50% | 52% |
Querétaro WDLLLLDDLLLDWLWWLLLLLLLLLDLL
Atlas WDLWDLDLLWWWWDLWLLLLLDLDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Querétaro W | Atlas W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 17 | 44 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 28 | 50 | 78 | 31 | 28 | 59 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Querétaro W | Atlas W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 93% | 78% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 70% | 48% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 44% | 15% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 37% | 15% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Querétaro W | Atlas W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Querétaro W | Atlas W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Querétaro W | Atlas W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 6-2 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 11-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Querétaro W | Atlas W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.34 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 10Bet
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Querétaro W = 1.09 (league 1.66), Atlas W = 2.00 (league 1.32)
| Atlas W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Querétaro W | 0 | 4.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 56.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
