Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.07)
1.66 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.1% | 24.4% | 53.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 2
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Sportivo Italiano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Defensores Unidos | 0 | 7.5% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 54% | 54% |
| Defense | 54% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 60% | 56% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Defensores UnidosDLDLDLDWD
Sportivo ItalianoDWWWDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 78% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 44% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.75 @ Unibet
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Defensores Unidos
vs
Sportivo Italiano
Expected goals
0.94
Defensores Unidos xG
League Avg: 1.07
Total
2.60
1.66
Sportivo Italiano xG
League Avg: 0.87
1x2 probabilities
Home
21.1%
Draw
24.4%
Away
53.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
12.4%
Tip
1 - 1
11.6%
Tip
0 - 2
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Defensores Unidos = 0.93 (league 1.07), Sportivo Italiano = 1.66 (league 0.87)
| Sportivo Italiano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Defensores Unidos | 0 | 7.5% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 53.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1