Le Messager Ngozi vs Green Farmers FC

Ligue A — Burundi

Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA

Match Finished

Le Messager Ngozi

4 - 0

Green Farmers FC

Expected Goals

0.71 (league 1.40) 0.24 (league 1.23)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
43.1%	45.3%	11.5%

best score tips

0 - 0

38.3%

1 - 0

27.4%

2 - 0

9.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Green Farmers FC
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Le Messager Ngozi	0	38.3%	9.4%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	27.4%	6.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	9.8%	2.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Le Messager Ngozi	Green Farmers FC
Played	5	5
Form	33%	0%
Attack	75%	100%
Defense	0%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	17 \| 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%

FT probability

2.5+

45%

FT probability

3.5+

32%

FT probability

BTTS

55%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Le Messager Ngozi			Green Farmers FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	12	22	11	11	22
Wins	10%	25%	18%	9%	0%	5%
Draws	60%	17%	36%	18%	18%	18%
Loses	30%	58%	45%	73%	82%	77%

Le Messager NgoziDWLLDLLWLDDLLLDWDLDWDL

Green Farmers FCLLLDLLLLDDLLWLLLDLLLLL

League goals

Metric	Le Messager Ngozi			Green Farmers FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	4	13	17	10	5	15
GF avg	0.4	1.1	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.7
GA total	6	20	26	23	28	51
GA avg	0.6	1.7	1.2	2.1	2.5	2.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Le Messager Ngozi		Green Farmers FC
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	55%	73%	55%	82%
1.5	18%	27%	14%	77%
2.5	5%	14%	0%	45%
3.5	0%	5%	0%	18%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Le Messager Ngozi			Green Farmers FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	0	6	3	1	4
Failed to score	7	3	10	3	7	10

Penalties

Metric	Le Messager Ngozi	Green Farmers FC
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Le Messager Ngozi	Green Farmers FC
Wins	1	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	1-3	1-0	—
Biggest losses	2-3	4-1	1-5	5-0
Goals For	2	3	2	2
Goals Against	3	4	5	5

Model comparison

Metric	Le Messager Ngozi	Green Farmers FC
Form	100%	0%
Att	43%	57%
Def	81%	19%
Poisson Distribution	76%	24%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	66.8%	33.3%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Le Messager Ngozi vs Green Farmers FC

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Le Messager Ngozi

Green Farmers FC

Ligue A • Burundi • Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA

Expected goals

0.71

Le Messager Ngozi xG League Avg: 1.40

Total

0.96

0.24

Green Farmers FC xG League Avg: 1.23

1x2 probabilities

Home

43.1%

Draw

45.3%

Away

11.5%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 0

38.3%

Tip

1 - 0

27.4%

Tip

2 - 0

9.8%

More chances

1.5+

64%

Chance

2.5+

45%

Chance

3.5+

32%

Chance

BTTS

55%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#LeMessagerNgozi #GreenFarmersFc #LigueA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Le Messager Ngozi = 0.71 (league 1.40), Green Farmers FC = 0.24 (league 1.23)

		Green Farmers FC
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Le Messager Ngozi	0	38.3%	9.4%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	27.4%	6.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	9.8%	2.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.1% · Draw 45.3% · Away win 11.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Le Messager Ngozi	Green Farmers FC
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0