Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 21:15 •
Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 0.85)
1.30 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.3% | 29.0% | 52.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 0
14.4%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Sportivo Ameliano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 2 de Mayo | 0 | 14.4% | 18.7% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 28% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 25% | 20% | 38% | 43% | 40% |
| Draws | 43% | 25% | 33% | 38% | 43% | 40% |
| Loses | 43% | 50% | 47% | 25% | 14% | 20% |
2 de MayoLDLDLLWWLDWDLDL
Sportivo AmelianoDLWWWDLLDDDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 17 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 73% | 73% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 40% | 40% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 27% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 35% | 65% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.13 @ BetVictor
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.36 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Betano
No1.80 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): 2 de Mayo = 0.64 (league 0.85), Sportivo Ameliano = 1.30 (league 0.85)
| Sportivo Ameliano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 2 de Mayo | 0 | 14.4% | 18.7% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 52.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
