Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 15:00 •
Kavkasioni Arena
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.38)
0.28 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2% | 58.2% | 17.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
52.8%
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Shturmi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Telavi | 0 | 52.8% | 14.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Shturmi carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 144 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Telavi +23.3, Shturmi +26.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Telavi
vs
Shturmi
Elo gapShturmi +144
Home / draw / away25% / 18% / 57%
Expected home share30%
Combined Elo3131.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3131.1
Elo home share
30%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Telavi | Shturmi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1476.1 | 1655 |
| Form Elo | 1499 | 1670.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1482 | 1564.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1421.9 | 1715.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1479.6 | 1666.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +23.3 | +26.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Telavi last-5 Elo change: +23.3; Shturmi last-5 Elo change: +26.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Telavi | Shturmi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 71% | 100% |
| Defense | 29% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Telavi | Shturmi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 43% | 67% | 25% | 43% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 75% | 57% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
TelaviDWDLWWD
ShturmiDDDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Telavi | Shturmi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Telavi | Shturmi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 43% | 71% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Telavi | Shturmi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Telavi | Shturmi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Telavi | Shturmi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Telavi | Shturmi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.38 @ Bet365
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.75 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ 1xBet
No1.91 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Telavi
vs
Shturmi
Expected goals
0.36
Telavi xG
League Avg: 1.38
Total
0.64
0.28
Shturmi xG
League Avg: 1.09
1x2 probabilities
Home
24.2%
Draw
58.2%
Away
17.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
52.8%
Tip
1 - 0
19.1%
Tip
0 - 1
14.6%
More chances
1.5+
44%
Chance
2.5+
31%
Chance
3.5+
22%
Chance
BTTS
51%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Telavi = 0.36 (league 1.38), Shturmi = 0.28 (league 1.09)
| Shturmi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Telavi | 0 | 52.8% | 14.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 58.2% · Away win 17.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1