Ligue 2 — Tunisia
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.40) 1.23 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 30.5% 53.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.5%
0 - 0
17.6%
0 - 2
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Ben Arous
0 1 2 3 4 5
EM Mahdia 0 17.4% 21.5% 13.3% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4%
1 8.9% 11.1% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEM MahdiaSporting Ben Arous
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack30%30%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric EM Mahdia Sporting Ben Arous
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins43%25%33%43%25%33%
Draws0%50%27%29%50%40%
Loses57%25%40%29%25%27%
EM MahdiaWDDLLLWWDLDWLWL
Sporting Ben ArousWLDWDWDDWWLLDDL

League goals

Metric EM Mahdia Sporting Ben Arous
HATHAT
GF total681411718
GF avg0.91.00.91.60.91.2
GA total88166612
GA avg1.11.01.10.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEM MahdiaSporting Ben Arous
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%67%73%53%
1.527%27%33%27%
2.57%13%13%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEM MahdiaSporting Ben Arous
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score347134

Penalties

MetricEM MahdiaSporting Ben Arous
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total13

Streaks

MetricEM MahdiaSporting Ben Arous
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-31-01-22-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricEM MahdiaSporting Ben Arous
Form78%22%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h64%36%
Goals56%44%
Total55.7%44.3%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ 10Bet
Away2.80 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
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League standings

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footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

EM Mahdia
vs
Sporting Ben Arous
Ligue 2 • Tunisia • Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
0.51
EM Mahdia xG League Avg: 1.40
Total
1.74
1.23
Sporting Ben Arous xG League Avg: 0.81
1x2 probabilities
Home
15.5%
Draw
30.5%
Away
53.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
21.5%
Tip
0 - 0
17.6%
Tip
0 - 2
13.2%
More chances
1.5+
55%
Chance
2.5+
39%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
58%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#EmMahdia #SportingBenArous #Ligue2 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): EM Mahdia = 0.52 (league 1.40), Sporting Ben Arous = 1.24 (league 0.80)

Sporting Ben Arous
0 1 2 3 4 5
EM Mahdia 0 17.4% 21.5% 13.3% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4%
1 8.9% 11.1% 6.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 54.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1