1. Deild — Iceland
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.83) 0.05 (league 1.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Grindavik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vestri 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Vestri carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 65 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vestri 0.0, Grindavik 0.0.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Vestri Elo 1457.5 · 0.0
vs
Grindavik Elo 1427.3 · 0.0
Elo gapVestri +65
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2884.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2884.8
Elo home share 59%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Vestri Grindavik
Overall Elo1457.51427.3
Form Elo1457.51427.3
Home / Away Elo1476.41466.2
Attack Elo14471507.9
Defense Elo1401.51244.7
Last 5 Elo change0.00.0

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Vestri last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Grindavik last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVestriGrindavik
Played00
Form0%0%
Attack0%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

0%
FT probability

2.5+

0%
FT probability

3.5+

0%
FT probability

BTTS

0%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vestri Grindavik
HATHAT
Played000000
Wins——————
Draws——————
Loses——————

League goals

Metric Vestri Grindavik
HATHAT
GF total000000
GF avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVestriGrindavik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5————
1.5————
2.5————
3.5————
4.5————

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVestriGrindavik
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricVestriGrindavik
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVestriGrindavik
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses————
Goals For0000
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricVestriGrindavik
Form0%0%
Att0%0%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total18.0%82.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Vestri
vs
Grindavik
1. Deild • Iceland • Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass
Expected goals
0.05
Vestri xG League Avg: 1.83
Total
0.10
0.05
Grindavik xG League Avg: 1.76
1x2 probabilities
Home
4.6%
Draw
90.7%
Away
4.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
90.5%
Tip
0 - 1
4.5%
Tip
1 - 0
4.5%
More chances
1.5+
0%
Chance
2.5+
0%
Chance
3.5+
0%
Chance
BTTS
0%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Vestri #Grindavik #1Deild #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Vestri = 0.05 (league 1.83), Grindavik = 0.05 (league 1.76)

Grindavik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vestri 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

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