Liga 3 — Portugal
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.23) 1.06 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 28.1% 31.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Varzim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 9.8% 10.5% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrofenseVarzim
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack31%23%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trofense Varzim
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%43%33%50%23%37%
Draws23%43%33%29%23%26%
Loses54%14%33%21%54%37%
TrofenseDWDWWLWDLDDDWWLWLDDLLDLWLLW
VarzimWWLDDDLDWDDWDLLWWWWLWLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Trofense Varzim
HATHAT
GF total141529201333
GF avg1.11.11.11.41.01.2
GA total141125111829
GA avg1.10.80.90.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrofenseVarzim
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%74%63%74%
1.526%19%41%22%
2.57%0%15%11%
3.57%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrofenseVarzim
HATHAT
Clean sheets257527
Failed to score55104610

Penalties

MetricTrofenseVarzim
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricTrofenseVarzim
Wins24
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-44-01-3
Biggest losses1-22-00-23-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricTrofenseVarzim
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total59.3%40.7%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Trofense
vs
Varzim
Liga 3 • Portugal • Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
1.26
Trofense xG League Avg: 1.23
Total
2.32
1.06
Varzim xG League Avg: 1.03
1x2 probabilities
Home
40.5%
Draw
28.1%
Away
31.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
Tip
1 - 0
12.3%
Tip
0 - 1
10.5%
More chances
1.5+
64%
Chance
2.5+
45%
Chance
3.5+
32%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
#Trofense #Varzim #Liga3 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Trofense = 1.26 (league 1.23), Varzim = 1.06 (league 1.03)

Varzim
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trofense 0 9.8% 10.5% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 31.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1