Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 21:30 •
Olimpico Atahualpa
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.29)
0.12 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.3% | 22.6% | 2.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.2%
2 - 0
22.6%
0 - 0
18.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Guayaquil City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Universidad Catolica | 0 | 18.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.2% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Guayaquil City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 55% | 18% |
| Defense | 82% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
42%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Guayaquil City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 60% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
Universidad CatolicaDWDWD
Guayaquil City FCLDLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Guayaquil City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Universidad Catolica | Guayaquil City FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Guayaquil City FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Guayaquil City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Guayaquil City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Universidad Catolica | Guayaquil City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.42 @ Unibet
Draw4.80 @ Betano
Away8.75 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Universidad Catolica
vs
Guayaquil City FC
Expected goals
1.55
Universidad Catolica xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
1.67
0.12
Guayaquil City FC xG
League Avg: 1.00
1x2 probabilities
Home
74.3%
Draw
22.6%
Away
2.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
29.2%
Tip
2 - 0
22.6%
Tip
0 - 0
18.9%
More chances
1.5+
42%
Chance
2.5+
30%
Chance
3.5+
21%
Chance
BTTS
46%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Universidad Catolica = 1.55 (league 1.29), Guayaquil City FC = 0.12 (league 1.00)
| Guayaquil City FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Universidad Catolica | 0 | 18.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.2% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 22.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 2.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1